How to calculate volatility
Daily data uses √252, weekly √52 and monthly √12. Prices are converted to percentage returns first.
Worked example
- Monthly returns have a standard deviation of 3.0%.
- Annualised volatility = 3.0% × √12 = 10.4%.
- Daily volatility of 1.2% annualises to 1.2% × √252 ≈ 19.0%.
How to interpret volatility
If returns were normally distributed, about 68% of periods would fall within one standard deviation of the average and 95% within two. Real markets produce more extreme moves than that, so treat volatility as a typical-range measure, not a worst case — for tail risk use Value at Risk or Expected Shortfall.
Volatility is also the denominator of the Sharpe ratio, so it directly shapes risk-adjusted performance.
Limitations and common mistakes
- Volatility treats upside and downside moves the same. For downside-only risk, see the Sortino ratio.
- Historical volatility changes over time — the last 20 days and the last 5 years can tell very different stories.